Nagkaroon ng rapid intensification ang bagyong Leon at inaasahang dadaan malapit sa Batanes o posibleng maglandfall doon bilang isang napakalakas a bagyo.
Alas 4 ngayong hapon, October 29, 2024, taglay na ni Leon ang lakas ng hangin na 150 km bawat oras malapit sa gitna at pagbugsong aabot 185 km bawat oras.
Ang sentro ni Leon ngayon ay tinatayang nasa distansyang 505 km silangan ng Tuguegarao City, Cagayan at patuloy na kumikilos kanluran hilagang-kanluran sa bilis na 10 km bawat oras.
Sa bulletin ng PAGASA ngayong alas 5 ng hapon, October 29, 2024
Signal #2 sa sumusunod na lugar:
- Batanes
- Babuyan Islands,
- mainland Cagayan
- mga bayan ng Santo Tomas, Santa Maria, Quezon, San Mariano, Naguilian, Dinapigue, Delfin Albano, San Pablo, Ilagan City, Benito Soliven, Tumauini, Cabagan, Reina Mercedes, Palanan, Quirino, Divilacan, Gamu, Mallig, Maconacon, at Burgos sa Isabela
- Apayao
- City of Tabuk, mga bayan ng Balbalan, Pinukpuk, at Rizal sa Kalinga
- mga bayan ng Tineg, Lacub, Malibcong sa Abra
- Ilocos Norte
Signal #1 sa sumusunod a lugar:
- nalalabing bahagi ng Isabela
- Quirino
- Nueva Vizcaya
- nalalabing bahagi ng Kalinga
- Mountain Province
- Ifugao
- Benguet
- nalalabing bahagi ng Abra
- Ilocos Sur
- La Union
- mga bayan ng General Tinio, Gabaldon, Bongabon, Carranglan, Pantabangan, Laur, at Rizal sa Nueva Ecija
- Aurora
- mga bayan ng Infanta, Real, Mauban, Perez, Alabat, Quezon, Calauag, General Nakar, Atimonan, Plaridel, Gumaca, Lopez, Guinayangan, Tagkawayan sa Quezon kasama ang Polillo Islands
- Camarines Norte
- Camarines Sur
- Catanduanes
- Albay
- mga bayan ng Prieto Diaz, City of Sorsogon, Gubat, Barcelona, Casiguran, Bulusan, Juban, Magallanes, Castilla, Pilar, Donsol sa Sorsogon
Narito ang buong nilalaman ng TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 12:
TYPHOON “LEON” UNDERGOES RAPID INTENSIFICATION OVER THE WATERS EAST OF CAGAYAN.
Location of Center (4:00 PM):
The center of Typhoon LEON was estimated based on all available data at 505 km East of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan or 515 km East of Aparri, Cagayan (18.0°N, 126.5°E)
Intensity:
Maximum sustained winds of 150 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 185 km/h, and central pressure of 955 hPa
Present Movement:
West northwestward at 10 km/h
Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds
Strong to typhoon-force winds extend outwards up to 660 km from the center
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
TCWS No. 2 Wind threat: Gale-force winds
Luzon
Batanes, Babuyan Islands, mainland Cagayan, the northern and eastern portions of Isabela (Santo Tomas, Santa Maria, Quezon, San Mariano, Naguilian, Dinapigue, Delfin Albano, San Pablo, Ilagan City, Benito Soliven, Tumauini, Cabagan, Reina Mercedes, Palanan, Quirino, Divilacan, Gamu, Mallig, Maconacon, Burgos), Apayao, the northern portion of Kalinga (City of Tabuk, Balbalan, Pinukpuk, Rizal), the northern portion of Abra (Tineg, Lacub, Malibcong), and Ilocos Norte
Warning lead time: 24 hours
Range of wind speeds: 62 to 88 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
Potential impacts of winds: Minor to moderate threat to life and property
TCWS No. 1 Wind threat: Strong winds
Luzon
The rest of Isabela, Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, the rest of Kalinga, Mountain Province, Ifugao, Benguet, the rest of Abra, Ilocos Sur, La Union, the eastern portion of Nueva Ecija (General Tinio, Gabaldon, Bongabon, Carranglan, Pantabangan, Laur, Rizal), Aurora, the northern and eastern portion of Quezon (Infanta, Real, Mauban, Perez, Alabat, Quezon, Calauag, General Nakar, Atimonan, Plaridel, Gumaca, Lopez, Guinayangan, Tagkawayan) including Polillo Islands, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Albay, and the northern portion of Sorsogon (Prieto Diaz, City of Sorsogon, Gubat, Barcelona, Casiguran, Bulusan, Juban, Magallanes, Castilla, Pilar, Donsol)
Warning lead time: 36 hours
Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property
OTHER HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall Outlook
Refer to Weather Advisory No. 6 issued at 5:00 PM today for the Heavy Rainfall Outlook associated with LEON.
Severe Winds
The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction.
• Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 2.
• Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.
The highest Wind Signal which may be hoisted during the occurrence of LEON is Wind Signal No. 3 or 4, especially in Batanes and Babuyan Islands. The hoisting of Wind Signal No. 5 is also not ruled out.
Furthermore, the wind flow coming towards the circulation of LEON will also bring gusty conditions (strong to gale-force) over the following localities (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds) outside Wind Signal areas:
• Today (29 October): Bataan, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Visayas, Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte, and Camiguin.
• Tomorrow (30 October): Bataan, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, most of Visayas, and Dinagat Islands.
• Thursday (31 October): Aurora, Quezon, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, and Dinagat Islands.
Coastal Inundation
There is a moderate to high risk of life-threatening storm surge reaching 2.0 to 3.0 m above normal tide levels in the next 48 hours over the low-lying or exposed coastal localities of Batanes and Babuyan Islands. Refer to Storm Surge Warning No. 2 issued at 2:00 PM today for the details.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
A Gale Warning is hoisted over the seaboard of Northern Luzon and the eastern seaboards of Central and Southern Luzon. Refer to Gale Warning No. 3 issued at 5:00 PM today for the details.
24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook
Up to very rough or high seas:
• Up to 10.0 m: The seaboards of Batanes, Babuyan Islands and northeastern mainland Cagayan
• Up to 8.0 m: The remaining eastern seaboard of mainland Cagayan
• Up to 7.0 m: The seaboards of Isabela; the remaining northern seaboard of mainland Cagayan
• Up to 6.0 m: The northern seaboard of Ilocos Norte.
• Up to 4.5 m: The seaboard of northern Aurora; the northern seaboard of Catanduanes
• Sea travel is risky all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside.
Up to rough seas:
• Up to 4.0 m: The remaining seaboard of Ilocos Norte; the northern and eastern seaboard of Polillo Islands, the seaboard of Camarines Norte; the northern seaboards of Camarines Sur; the eastern seaboard of Catanduanes.
• Up to 3.5 m: The seaboard of Ilocos Sur; the eastern seaboards of Albay and Sorsogon; the northern and eastern seaboards of Northern Samar.
• Up to 3.0 m: The eastern seaboard of mainland Quezon, Camarines Sur, Eastern Samar, and Dinagat Islands; the remaining seaboards of Ilocos Region.
• Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels.
Up to moderate seas:
• Up to 2.5 m: The seaboards of Zambales, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, Davao Oriental, and Kalayaan Islands
• Up to 2.0 m: The remaining seaboards of Luzon and Visayas; the northern seaboard of Mindanao.
• Mariners of motorbancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
• LEON is forecast to move northwestward over the Philippine Sea until it makes landfall along the eastern coast of Taiwan on Thursday (31 October) afternoon or evening. After crossing the landmass of Taiwan, LEON will then turn to the northward to north northeastward over the Taiwan Strait towards the East China Sea and exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility on Thursday evening or Friday early morning (1 November). A second landfall over mainland China is not ruled out during this period.
• LEON will be closest to Batanes between Thursday early morning and noon. A landfall in Batanes is also not ruled out.
• This tropical cyclone is to continue rapidly intensifying over the Philippine Sea until prior to landfall over Taiwan. LEON will likely be at or near super typhoon intensity during its closest point of approach to Batanes.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 11:00 PM today.
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